S&P has another important number @1025. Do we get another pivot point development or do we get a bearish butterfly.
984 is still a number to look at on the downside a break of that means the downside is now the trend and prove that 1006 was the pivot point for the bull and bears.
Sunday, August 16, 2009
longer Outlook
Once in awhile i like to look on very large time frame charts to see where we might be in 3-5 yrs based on my cycle and fibonacci analysis here is a few things I see:
Oil look alot lower, that might seem strange as I think the dollar will get weaker but the only way that would be correct is if we enter a period of server deflation.
Grains also looks lower on a longer time frame.
Bond ditto.
S&P ditto.
I hope I am wrong on all these but it seems deflation will be our enemy and all asset classes will decline over the medium to long term. I hope I am wrong on this because massive deflation is a sign of depressionary period as people sell assets at any prices. Is what is going on in Real Estate a precursor to a big picture analysis, we can only watch, wait and pray.
MARKETJEDI
Oil look alot lower, that might seem strange as I think the dollar will get weaker but the only way that would be correct is if we enter a period of server deflation.
Grains also looks lower on a longer time frame.
Bond ditto.
S&P ditto.
I hope I am wrong on all these but it seems deflation will be our enemy and all asset classes will decline over the medium to long term. I hope I am wrong on this because massive deflation is a sign of depressionary period as people sell assets at any prices. Is what is going on in Real Estate a precursor to a big picture analysis, we can only watch, wait and pray.
MARKETJEDI
Crude Analysis Update
It appears that sub [b] has completed. Notice the break of the mid-line of the channel that had supported for a couple of days.
Price came within a whisker of the 23.6% retracement level of minor A. [c] = [a] at 57.39. The first little daily swing projects to 62.03, which is very close to the 38.2% retracement. All basis continuous contract.
Don't be surprised if they turn a triangle here. It has all the makings so far.
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