Monday, March 16, 2009

Choppy day

Well the bulls gave it up after trying their best to give us a move up. If we didn't end down today I was planning on throwing in my bearish stand and think maybe the bulls really have a handle on it but there is nothing like resistance. 771 was resistance and that proved to be the monumental hurdle for them today.
Well the rest of the week should be fun because the bulls will have to make another stand or the relentless bears will start clawing back.
As I said believe it or not we are overbought and the bulls must rest.

Futures Traders-ES futures

Shorting 761 here for a hold

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Hmmm- Interesting forecast on S&P

Just doing my weekend homework and friday Morgan Stanley lowered there year end estimates on the S&P to 825. Today we are 755 so I guess we are close to a top by Morgan Stanley. Who the heck knows with all these idiots they were calling for DOW 17000 :). Anyways tomorrow should be very interested and the important level to watch is 732.50. If that is broken I think we will have a down week this week.

Lets talk it slow here but I assume we are at or almost at a top of this little bump, we will see soon enough.


I have a play for you this week, I am just waiting till around lunch time tomorrow.


MARKETJEDI

Weekend Thoughts

Well sorry for no market thoughts last weekend and little posting in the week but I have been swamped and my sinuses are killing me as we enter spring. I was born with serious sinus problems and have tried everything know to man and nothing helps.
Well we got a four days bump and yes it is a bump in the markets last week. This week is options expiration and I expect us to get some volatility this week. It is from my experience that this week should be a down week since we usually reverse the action on option expiration week. Now this is going to sound very strange but we are currently overbought and indicators are already showing the rally is waning in strength. Can we go a little higher yes but it will just be a better short entry.
I am currently short the russell from Thursday and obviously I am underwater but I will ride out my bets as usual. The S&P is the one to watch this week. 766 is the next upside I see but on the downside we must defend that 734 area or the bulls will welcome back the bears in numbers and a quick shot down to 701 is possible. Remember we are up 90 S&P points in 4.5 days and we can retrace half of that and still remain in an uptrend of this little correction, so we will see.
The banks have bounced heavily and here is a good spot to add 1/2 lot to shorts again or initiate 1/2 lot in my opinion. Nasdaq looks weak and it is possible that the next leg down this is the sector that will lose the most ad I will be betting on that.
Watch GOOG short- also watch XLF 8.60 level to short the financials.


MARKETJEDI

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Funny

Funny stuff but serious that NBC have people working to erase all of the Jon Stewart videos of him destroying Cramer and CNBC. Man I thought we had free speech but they will tell you some crap about copyright and hide behind that itself. Well if so be it then there would be no internet but I hope it proves to you how corrupt our system is and they try to discredit those who are try to spread the truth :). How funny DEMOCRACY IS :):)

Have a great weekend

Friday, March 13, 2009

Jon Stewart our HERO

Setting up

This will set up a nice trading short for us very soon. Don't worry as I said two weeks ago the sentiment was about to change because the short side was getting hard to trade. Where and how high we go? I dont know but just watch the financials as most believe they are cheap and the first sign or them as the insurers fading out the upside that will be the signal to get short. Yep folk that's how you have to play this one, up and down with the trend, this one will be sweet once again!




MARKETJEDI