SO

So analysis of yesterday action was dead on. Where do we go from there. Well! My technicals are tell me the market is around 16% overvalued here. So at DOW 10000, that puts real value of the market somewhere around 8400 area. We surely wont die yet till be break down down below 1021 on the S&P is my prediction. We are close but not close enough.

10000

Well we will open below 10k on the Dow, not an important technical number but it is a number the powers that be use in media land. What will happen today? My guess is that they will try and defend that area and close above it but that's just a guess at this point before the market open.
In the mean time AAPL looks like it wants it 200ma and tech land looks weak, actually very weak.

Welcome to the new US economy, I said it two years ago we heading the same way of Japan.

Close

Hope people taking note of where we closed- exactly at that 1051-1054 level. Just amazing. We hanging onto 10k on the Dow but how long.
In the mean time Oil is smacked dead, GOOD. Not ready to cover that one yet, that was a gimme play short in the 76/77 area, just too easy.

BINGO, BINGO, BINGO

Notice where we are this morning, 1051/54 area, folks will be buying here so watch for a minor bounce. If we violate this area on the close the bulls are shot.
BAC finally at my 12.75 area....
AAPL at my 242 area i mentioned yesterday.

Should be a very interesting week

Boring

Boring but where are the bulls? We definitely targeting 1054 here and more than likely there will be buyers around that 1050 level for some type of bounce. This is very disheartening for the bulls because if they can't push us higher off earnings what else will they have. There is no good news out there to hear and with the mid term elections just around the corner I fear the market will be stuck in the range for a extended period.
Notice we didn't even get to that S&P 1150 level.

Stay tuned-

AAPL looks like it wants lower around 242.

Hmmm- Only bad news abounds

All you hear is the bad. There are no jobs to be found, and that's just the start! The country is about to get into real trouble! Maybe A double (or triple, quadruple, whatever it's up to now) recessions are looming around the corner. Iran has just fueled its first Nuke plant, and vows to be mean if there are any actions against them! the market hasn't hit a new high lately, and of course, let's not forget the Hindenburg Omen, which is splattered across the financial publications both online and in print.

I think we are in serious trouble on that front, but I am a short term market timer and try to map out what will happen in the next trading ranges, rather than the next few years. I am pointing out that the negatives are stacked pretty high here, yet the market is not in a rush to crash, at least not yet.

We are SMACK In the middle of the 3-month range. As the chart above shows, the 50% Fibonacci retracement held both at the beginning and end of the week. We now want to see a trade above Friday's highs to put the bounce back in the Bull's step, at least for the short term. If not, and we trade below last week's lows, we open up the case for a push down to the next Fibonacci level.

I still believe we are in a rotating (range bound) rather than extending (directional) market currently, and until proven otherwise that's how I'll be looking to take advantage of it.

Interesting