Wednesday, January 7, 2009

UPSIDE

Upside target of 952 is still valid !

Wednesday Morning

Well we are down pre market on the news from ADP and lower employment and Intel's disappoint pre earnings report. As I wrote in last night notes 922 was important in the overnight session and we broke it this morning in the overnight session, BANG on spot again. Now watch that 904 mentioned on the downside, too much complacency here folks don't get caught up in it.


MARKETJEDI

Important to Note

We have not touched the weekly pivot this week yet. Currently @904 on the S&P. I expect us to touch this tomorrow or thursday so look for a down day somewhere here. I also have an upside target of 952 which is still validated by the charts.

MARKETJEDI

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Overnight

For those who watch the overnight session, watch 922 on the S&P. Also after the close news of reduced earnings on BAC and AA, two heavy weights in the markets. I am about to step into some GS short here for the long term as I feel this sucker is DEAD. I got some short today @ $91 and will add on a move up higher, but as of now I am short 1/3 shares of it.
Infrastructure plays are getting a bounce here, which I kind of expected if Obama won but who knows what will happen with the limited budget on the table. These stock can crash and burn if the new administration switches on massive infrastructure building, keep those on your radar for the rest of the year. These stocks I predict will be the ones to watch this year as the agricultural stocks were the ones to watch last year.

Fibonacci set up

Someone asked me today what Fibonacci numbers I use:
Extension I use 161.8, 261.80 and to the extreme 423.6
Retracement I use 38.2, 61.8, 78.6, 100.

Thoughts

The chart below show me one concerning issue on the upside. Everytime we hit those highs we get a wave of downside selling pressure on the 15 minute, something to watch out for the rest of the week. See those two large red down candles, they mean something.


TRADE CALL UPDATE: EBAY CALL OUT

Out EBAY calls: @$2.20.

18% winner. be careful here.


only winners