Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Dive

This is why I am not forcing anything here. We just meandering in a tight range between 1310 and 1350 but today's action seem to be breaking to the lower end of the range.
Data has been weak actually very weak. Geez they thought housing was going to come back. I said that 3 yrs ago housing is DEAD, no rebound forget a bout it as they would say.
Two hours left in the day watch 1317 area for some support if we get there also I do have a projection from last week of 1295 if we do continue to drive down.

So up yesterday strong and down today strong- SEE SAW action. Stay out

One week later

One week later and the markets are at the same level. Patience here but one thing I will like to note on is the volume. We are going to break one way or the other soon when volume comes in but it is my opinion this break will not be the defining more of the market.
So if we break lower I would be a buyer and if we break higher I would be planning on shorts.

Hopefully we get some action soon

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Chop Chop

Market doing a whole lot of nothing but I think we will get an attempt to go higher then we will pullback more. Looking for sub 1200 if we break 1305 in the day time session. For now looking for some resistance in the 1328 and 1334 area

Mark Haines

Good bye Mark Haines you were my favorite financial report in the world.

Monday, May 23, 2011

Numbers

If we can bounce today over 1318 we should target 1323.50. One the downside there are two close areas to watch if we fall below lows of days 1308.50 then 1306.50

So what Next

So we are getting a deep pullback here in the markets. Futures are down over 10 S&P points an hour before the open and we looking weak. I have been patient over the last few weeks when everyone thought we would spike up higher immediately but there were warning signs.
Right now it gets complicated for me, why? well here it is in short time and price projections are not matching here at all. Time projection are telling me we are here at a close to a cycle top but price has already started the decline BUT I must note that cycles also shows a cycle low in June/ July time frame so this pullback 'should' be buyable somewhere in the next week weeks. I feel much more confident when time and price are in concert with each other and they aren't here.
If I am to follow the sequence of what is going on my analysis would lead me to say we are going to get a much deeper pullback and it will shake out much of the weak longs.
Remember what I have been saying for the last 3-4 months this move up is on very light volume and this might be the first real sign of the crack.

Stay tuned

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Back! Almost

Been traveling so not much time to post- Since I have been off we have gotten a pullback in the market and yes I still don't believe it we are yet heading down but my cycles tells me june will be a bottom so this is how I see it.
I think we are due for some selling here maybe in the next couple of days into the June cycle bottom, whatever will trigger the selling is not relevant but it should be bought.
Long term I think after that last push of of the June bottom the next wave will be the end of this long uptrend in the market.

We will see soon enough!